A Guide:

Bibliography

The following publications were used as references in developing the Guide:

1. Adams, Mark and Mark Bradbury. Conflict and Development: Background Paper for UNICEF/NGO Workshop. New York, NY: United Nations. April 27, 1995.

2. Africa Confidential. July 21, 1995; August 4, 1995; September 22, 1995; October 20, 1995; November 3, 1995.

3. Africa Report. New York, NY: The African-American Institute, April 1995.

4. Africa Watch. Evil Days. New York, NY: Human Rights Watch, April 9, 1995.

5. ________. News from Africa Watch, April 9, 1991.

6. African Rights. "Grass and the Roots of Peace." Discussion Paper No. 3, April 1994.

7. ________. "Land Tenure, the Creation of Famine, and Prospects for Peace in Somalia." Discussion Paper No. 1, October 1993.

8. ________. "When Women Become Killers." August 1995.

9. Agbaje, Adigun. "Culture, Corruption and Development." Voices from Africa, No. 4, June 1992.

10. Allison, Graham. The Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Boston, MA: Little Brown, 1971.

11. Amnesty International. Burundi: Struggle for Survival. London, UK: Amnesty, June 15, 1995.

12. Assefa, Hizkias. "Ethiopia: Crucible of Conflict." In Peter Anyang’ Nyong’o, Arms and Daggers in the Heart of Africa. Nairobi, Kenya: African Academy of Sciences, 1993.

13. ________. Peace and Reconciliation as a Paradigm. Nairobi Peace Initiative Monograph Series, No. 1. Nairobi, Kenya: Nairobi Peace Initiative, 1993.

14. Avruch, Kevin, Peter W. Black and Joseph A. Scimecca. Conflict Resolution: Cross-Cultural Perspectives. New York, NY: Greenwood Press, 1991.

15. Ayoob, Mohammed. "The New-Old Disorder in the Third World." In Global Governance. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1995.

16. Baker, Pauline H. and John A. Ausnik. "State Collapse and Ethnic Violence: Toward a Predictive Model," Parameters, Spring 1996.

17. Banks, Michael and Christopher Mitchell. A Handbook on the Analytical Problem Solving Approach. Fairfax, VA: George Mason University, Institute for Conflict Analysis and Resolution. December 1994.

18. Barrett, G.A.D. "Nutritional Survey, Kismayu." MSF Belgium, December 18, 1993.

19. Bates, Robert. "Modernization, Ethnic Competition and the Rationality of Politics in Contemporary Black Africa." Marion Doro and Newell Stutz (eds.) Governing in Black Africa. New York, NY: Africana Publishing Company, 1986.

20. Bellows, Michael (ed.). Asia in the 21st Century: Evolving Strategic Priorities. Washington, DC: National Defense University Press, 1994.

21. Bennett, Olivia (ed.). Greenwar. London, UK: Panos Publications, 1991.

22. Bercovitch, Jacob and Jeffrey Langley. "The Nature of Dispute and the Effectiveness of International Mediation." Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 37, No. 4, December 1993.

23. Berhe-Tesfu, Constantinos. Priming the African State: Post-Cold War Political Transitions and Sovereignty. Unpublished mimeo, 1995.

24. Binnendijk, Hans and Patrick Clawson. "New Strategic Priorities." The Washington Quarterly. Spring 1995.

25. Blacker, Coit. "A Typology of Post-Cold War Conflicts." In Arnold Kanter and Linton F. Brooks, US Intervention Policy for the Post-Cold War World: New Challenges and New Responses. New York, NY: W.W. Norton, 1994.

26. Blackwill, Robert D. A Taxonomy for Defining US National Security Interests in the 1990s and Beyond. Source unknown.

27. Blainey, Geoffrey. The Causes of War. New York, NY: The Free Press, 1973.

28. Bloomfield, Lincoln P. "Anticipating the Future: Foreign Policy Planning." In The Foreign Policy Process: A Modern Primer. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1987.

29. ________. The Foreign Policy Process: A Modern Primer. Englewood, NJ: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1982.

30. ________ and Amelia C. Leiss. Controlling Small Wars: A Strategy for the 1970s. New York, NY: Alfred A. Knopf, 1969.

31. Boutros-Ghali, Boutros. An Agenda for Peace. New York, NY: United Nations, 1992.

32. ________. Building Peace and Development: Report on the Work of the Organization from the Forty-Eighth to the Forty-Ninth Session of the General Assembly. New York, NY: United Nations, 1994.

33. ________. Supplement to an Agenda for Peace: Position Paper of the Secretary-General on the Occasion of the Fiftieth Anniversary of the United Nations. Report of the Secretary-General on the Work of the Organization. New York, NY: United Nations, 1995.

34. Bradbury, Mark. Development in Conflict. Oxfam Discussion Paper. Oxford, UK: 1994.

35. ________. The Somali Conflict: Prospects for Peace. Oxfam Research Paper No. 9, 1994.

36. Bradlow, Daniel D. and Claudio Grossman. "Limited Mandates and Intertwined Problems: A New Challenge for the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund." Human Rights Quarterly. Vol. 17, 1995.

37. Bratton, Michael and Marcus Cheatham. "Food as a Weapon: The Effects of Civil Conflict on Food Security in Africa." Paper prepared for the 1990 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, CA, August 30-September 1, 1990.

38. Bread for the World. Countries in Crisis. Sixth Annual Report on the State of World Hunger. Silver Spring, MD, 1995.

39. Brinley, Joseph F. Jr. "National Security Adviser Anthony Lake Launches Defense of US Foreign Aid." In The Woodrow Wilson Center Report, Vol. 7, No. 1, June 1995.

40. Buckley, Stephen. "Policy Helps Tanzania Avoid Tribal Tensions Rife Elsewhere in Africa. The Washington Post, November 1995.

41. Burr, Millard. "Food Aid, Famine and Failure." US Committee for Refugees, 1993.

42. Burton, John. The History of Conflict Resolution. 1986.

43. ________ and Frank Dukes. Conflict: Practices in Management, Settlement and Resolution. New York, NY: St. Martin’s Press, 1990.

44. Byers, Bruce A. Population Growth, Environmental Degradation and Conflict in the Ngorongoro Conservation Area, Tanzania. Paper prepared for the workshop on The State of the Environment: Conflict and Degradation in North East Africa. Oxford University: September 27, 1994.

45. Campbell, Kurt C. and Thomas G. Weiss. "The Third Wave in the Wake of Eastern Europe." The Washington Quarterly, Spring 1991.

46. Cassanelli, Lee. Somali Land Resource Issues in Historical Perspective. Paper presented at the conference "Learning from Operation Restore Hope," Princeton University, April 1995.

47. Catholic Relief Services. Briefing Notes: Institutional Support for the Sudan Relief and Rehabilitation Association (SRRA) — The Third Wave. 1995.

48. Center for the Study of Foreign Affairs. Conflict Resolution: Track Two Diplomacy. Washington, DC: Foreign Service Institute, US Government Printing Office, 1987.

49. ________. International Negotiation: Art and Science. Washington, DC: Foreign Service Institute, US Government Printing Office, 1984.

50. Chazan, Naomi. "Strengthening Civil Society and the State." In World Policy Journal, Vol. 9, No. 2, Spring 1992.

51. Clark, John F. The National Conference as an Instrument of Democratization in Francophone Africa. Journal of Third World Studies, Vol. XI, No. 1, 1994.

52. Cockell, John. Draft Early Warning Analysis Framework, Government of Canada, Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade, Global Issues Bureau, August 1996

53. Cohen, Marc J. But the Cupboard is Bare: The Crisis of Aid. Silver Spring, MD: Bread for the World Institute, 1995.

54. Conflict Management Group. Early Warning and Preventive Action in the CSCE: Defining the Role of the High Commissioner on National Minorities. A Report of the CSCE Devising Session, Harvard Negotiation Project. Cambridge, MA: Harvard Law School, October 19, 1992.

55. Congressional Budget Office. Enhancing US Security Through Foreign Aid. Washington, DC: US Congress, April 1994.

56. Copson, Raymond W. Africa’s Wars and Prospects for Peace. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 1994.

57. Cranna, Michael (ed.). The True Cost of Conflict: Seven Recent Wars and Their Effect on Society. New York, NY: New Press, 1994.

58. Crummey, Donald. Banditry, Rebellion and Social Protest in Africa. London, UK: James Currey, 1986.

59. Davidson, Basil. "What Development Model?" Africa Forum: A Journal of Leadership and Development, Vol. 1, No. 1, 1991.

60. de Waal, Alex. "Rethinking Ethiopia." In Charles Gurdon (ed.), The Horn of Africa, London, UK: UCL Press, 1994.

61. Donor Election Unit. Final Analytical Summary of DEU Reports, May 30, 1995.

62. Doob, Leonard (ed.). Resolving Conflict in Africa: the Fermeda Workshop. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1970.

63. Dowden, Richard. "Slaughter of Innocents in Sudan Feud." The Independent, December 27, 1991.

64. Dreze, Jean and Amartya Sen. Hunger and Public Action. Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1994.

65. Drohobycky, Maria (ed.). Managing Ethnic Tension in the Post-Soviet Space: The Examples of Kazakhstan and Ukraine. Washington, DC: American Association for the Advancement of Science, 1995.

66. Drumtra, Jeff. "Rwandan Refugees: Updated Findings and Recommendations." US Committee for Refugees, October 25, 1995.

67. Duffield, Mark. "Absolute Distress: The Structural Causes of Hunger in Sudan." Middle East Report, October 1991.

68a ________. "Complex Emergencies and the Crisis of Developmentalism." IDS Bulletin: Linking Relief and Development, Vol. 25, No. 3, October 1994.

69a ________. Protracted Political Crisis and the Demise of Developmentalism: From Convergence to Coexistence. Discussion paper prepared for Aid Under Fire: Redefining Relief and Development Assistance in Unstable Situations. London, UK, April 27, 1995.

70a ________ and John Prendergast. Without Troops and Tanks: Humanitarian Intervention in Ethiopia and Eritrea. Trenton, NJ: Red Sea Press, 1994.

71a Dujisin, Mario. "Africa: Portugal’s Ex-Colonies Complete Cycle of Formal Democracy." Inter Press Service. November 4, 1994.

72a Dyer, Gwynne. "The Worst Place in the World." Washington Times, Commentary Section, April 1, 1992.

73a Economist Intelligence Unit, July 1995; September 26, 1995.

74a Esman, M.J. "Political and Psychological Factors in Ethnic Conflict." J.V. Montville (ed.), Conflict and Peacemaking in Multiethnic Societies. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books, 1990.

75a Esty, Daniel C. et. al. State Failure Task Force, Final Report. Vol. 1, Science Applications International Corporation, Inc. November 30, 1995.

76a Evans, Gareth. Cooperating for Peace: The Global Agenda for the 1990s and Beyond. St. Leonards: Allen & Unwin, 1993.

77a Farah, Ahmed Yusuf and I.M. Lewis, Peacemaking Endeavours of Contemporary Lineage Leaders: A Survey of Grassroots Peace Conferences in "Somaliland", London, UK: ActionAid, December 1993.

78a Fein, Helen. "Tools and Alarms: Uses of Models for Explanation and Anticipation." The Journal of Ethno Development — Special Edition Vol. 4, No. 1, July 1994.

79a Findlay, Trevor. "Multilateral Conflict Prevention, Management and Resolution." SIPRI Yearbook. 1994.

80a Fisher, Cathleen S. The Pre-Conditions of Confidence Building: Lessons from the European Experience. Draft paper, no date.

81a Fisher, Ronald J. The Social Psychology of Intergroup and International Conflict Resolution. New York, NY: Springer-Verlag, 1990.

82a Flight International, July 5, 1995.

83a Gagnon, V.P. "Ethnic Nationalism and International Conflict: The Case of Serbia." International Security 19, No. 3 (Winter 1994/95).

84a Gastrow, Peter. Bargaining for Peace: South Africa and the National Peace Accord. Washington, DC: US Institute of Peace, 1995.

85a Gbotokuma, Zeke. "Cultural Identity and Under-Development in Sub-Saharan Africa. Voices from Africa, No. 4, June 1992.

86a General Accounting Office. Department of Defense: Changed Needed to the Humanitarian Assistance Program. GAO/USAID-84-57, November 2, 1993.

87a ________. Promoting Democracy: Foreign Affairs and Defense Agencies Funds and Activities–1991 to 1993. US General Accounting Office, January 1994.

88a George, Alexander (ed.). Avoiding War: Problems of Crisis Management. San Francisco, CA: Westview Press, 1991.

89a Gingyera-Pinycwa. "Conflicting Fingers Within the Iron Fist of National Unity: Uganda," in Peter Anyang’ Nyong’o, Arms and Daggers in the Heart of Africa, Nairobi: African Academy of Sciences, 1993.

90a Goldschmit, Walter. "The Failure of Pastoral Economic Programs in Africa." John Gelaty (ed.), The Future of Pastoral Peoples. Ottawa: International Development Research Centre, 1981.

91a ________ and Eugene Hillman. "The Pauperization of the Masai in Kenya." Africa Today, 4th quarter, 1994.

92a Graham, Carol. Safety Nets, Politics and the Poor. Washington, DC: Brookings Institute, 1994.

93a Greater Horn of Africa Initiative. A Strategic Approach. Washington, DC, 1994 and summer 1995.

94a Green, Reginald. The East African, January 9-15, 1995.

95a The Guardian. February 25, 1994.

96a Gurr, Ted Robert. Minorities at Risk. Washington, DC: US Institute of Peace, 1993.

97a ________ and Barbara Harff (eds.), "Early Warning of Communal Conflicts and Humanitarian Crises," proceedings from a workshop held at the Center for International Development and Conflict Management, University of Maryland, November 5-6, 1993, and summarized in The Journal of Ethno-Development, Vol. 4, No. 1, July 1994.

98a Harff, Barbara. "A Theoretical Model of Genocides and Politicides." The Journal of Ethno-Development, Vol. 4, No. 1, July 1994.

99a Harff, Barbara. "A Theoretical Model of Genocides and Politicides." The Journal of Ethno Development — Special Edition Vol. 4, No. 1, July 1994.

100a ________. "USAID and Ethnic Conflict: An Epiphany?" Paper presented at a conference on Development and Ethnic Conflict, Cornell University, Ethnicity and International Conflict Program, October 5-7, 1995.

101a Hess, Stephen. International News and Foreign Correspondents. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 1996.

102a Holmquist, Frank and Michael Ford. "Kenya: State and Civil Society the First Year After the Election." Africa Today, 4th quarter, 1994.

103a Homer-Dixon, Thomas. "Environmental Changes as Causes of Acute Conflict." Richard K. Betts (ed.), Conflict After the Cold War: Arguments on Causes of War and Peace. New York, NY: MacMillan Publishing Company, 1994.

104a ________. "Environmental Scarcities and Violent Conflict: Evidence from Cases." International Security No. 19, Summer 1994.

105a ________. "On the Threshold: Environmental Changes and Causes of Acute Conflict." International Security, No. 16, 1991.

106a Horowitz, Donald L. Ethnic Groups in Conflict. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press, 1985.

107a Huber, Konrad. "The CSCE’s New Role in the East: Conflict Prevention," Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty Research Report, Vol. 3, No. 31, August, 1994.

108a Human Rights Watch. Human Rights Watch World Report 1995, Africa Section, December 1994.

109a Human Rights Watch/Africa. Kenya: Old Habits Die Hard. July 1995.

110a Human Rights Watch Arms Project. Rwanda/Zaire: Rearming with Impunity. May 1995.

111a Huntington, Samuel P. The Third Wave. Norman, OK: University of Oklahoma Press, 1991.

112a ICVA. The Reality of Aid 1994: An Independent Review of International Aid. ICVA, Eurostep, and ActionAid.

113a International Negotiation Network. State of World Conflict Report. Atlanta, GA: The Carter Center, 1995.

114a Job, Brian. "The Insecurity Dilemma." The Insecurity Dilemma: National Security of Third World States. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1992.

115a Jones, Bruce. "Civil War and Genocide in Rwanda." Presentation at the University of Toronto conference on civil wars in Africa, May 1995.

116a Jongman, Albert J. "The PIOOM Program on Monitoring and Early Warning of Humanitarian Crises." The Journal of Ethno-Development, Vol. 4, No. 1, July 1994.

117a Kacowicz, Arie. "Explaining Zones of Peace: Democracies as Satisfied Powers?" Journal of Peace Research Vol 32, No. 3, 1995.

118a Kagan, Donald. On the Origins of War. New York, NY: Doubleday, 1995.

119a Kanninen, Tapio. The Future of Early Warning and Preventive Action in the United Nations. Occasional Paper Series Number V. The Ralph Bunche Institute on the United Nations. New York, NY: United Nations, 1992.

120a Kaplan, Robert. "The Coming Anarchy." In Atlantic Monthly, Vol. 273, No. 2, February 1994.

121a Kaufman, Craig. The Nueva Guinea Zonal Peace Commission: Lessons for Implementing Preventive Diplomacy. Unpublished manuscript, 1995.

122a Keen, D. The Benefits of Famine. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1995.

123a ________. The Economics of War: Some Thoughts on the War Literature and the Potential Role of Economic Analysis. Draft: not for circulation or quotation without permission of the author. 1995.

124a Keller, Bill. "Africa Allows its Tragedies to Take Their Own Course." New York Times, Section 4, August 7, 1994.

125a Keller, Edmond. "Remaking the Ethiopian State." In William Zartman, Collapsed States: The Disintegration and Reintegration of Legitimate Authority. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1995.

126a Kelman, Herbert and Stephen Cohen. The Problem-Solving Workshop: A Social Psychological Contribution to the Resolution of International Conflict. 1976.

127a Kennedy, Robert. Warning for National Response in the 21st Century. Strategic Outreach Conference Report, Center for International Strategy, Technology and Policy. Atlanta, GA: Georgia Institute of Technology, 1993.

128a Khadiagala, Gilbert. "A Tale of Two Policies: US Relations Toward Kenya and Uganda." Paper presented at a Council of Foreign Relations conference on "New Perspectives on US Policy Toward Africa," June 16, 1995.

129a Kiplagat, B.A. "The African Role in Conflict Management and Resolution." In David Smock and Chester Crocker, African Conflict Resolution: The US Role in Peacemaking. Washington, DC: US Institute of Peace, 1995.

130a Kiyaga-Nsubuga, John. Managing Political Instability in Sub-Saharan Africa: Uganda Under Musevini’s NRM Regime. Paper presented at a conference on civil conflicts in Africa, University of Toronto, May 1995.

131a Kriesberg, Louis. Preventive Conflict Resolution of Inter-Communal Conflicts. PARC Working Paper 29. Syracuse, NY: Syracuse University, 1993.

132a ________. Social Conflicts. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1982.

133a Kolstø, Päl, Andrei Edemsky and Natalya Kalashnikova. "The Dniester Conflict: Between Irredentism and Separatism." Europe-Asia Studies 45, 1993.

134a Kuper, Leo. The Prevention of Genocide. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1985.

135a Lancaster, Carol in Anthony Lake (ed.). After the Wars. Washington, DC: Overseas Development Council, 1990.

136a Larus, Joel. From Collective Security to Preventive Diplomacy: Readings in International Organization and the Maintenance of Peace. New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1965.

137a Leatherman, Janie. Primary and Secondary Dynamics of Ethnic Conflict and the CSCE’s Third Party Potentialities. Reprint Series 5:PR:9. Notre Dame, IN: University of Notre Dame, Joan B. Kroc Institute for International Studies, 1993.

138a ________ and Raimo Vayrinen. Structure, Culture and Territory: Three Sets of Early Warning Indicators. Paper prepared for the 36th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, February 21-25, 1995.

139a Lederach, John Paul. Building Peace: Sustainable Reconciliation in Divided Societies. Tokyo: United Nations University, 1994.

140a Lemarchand, René. "Rwanda: The Rationality of Genocide." Issue: A Journal of Opinion, Vol. 23, No. 2, 1995.

141a Levine, Iain. The Revitalization of Traditional Structures and Values in Southern Sudan: A Preliminary Proposal. First draft.

142a Levy, Mark et. al. "Improving the Effectiveness of International Environmental Institutions." In Peter Haas et. al. (eds.), Institutions for the Earth: Sources of Effective International Environmental Protection. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1993.

143a Lippman, Thomas. "Finding Theme in Foreign Policy." Washington Post. June 30, 1994.

144a Lowrey, William. Sudan Case Study: Jikany-Lou Nuer Indigenous Peace Process. Unpublished mimeo. June 1995.

145a Lusk, Gill. "SPLA Beleaguered." Middle East International, March 20, 1992.

146a Lyons, Terrence and Ahmed I. Samatar. Somalia: State Collapse, Multilateral Intervention and Strategies for Political Reconstruction. Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution, 1995.

147a Mahiga, Augustine P. and Fidelia M. Nji. Confidence-Building Measures in Africa. New York, NY: United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research, 1987.

148a Mansfield, E. and J. Snyder. "Democratization and War." Foreign Affairs, Vol. 74, No. 3, May/June 1995.

149a Manwaring, Max G. "The Threat in the Contemporary Peace Environment: The Challenge to Change Perspectives." In Edwin G. Corr and Stephen Sloan (eds.), Low-Intensity Conflict: Old Threats in a New World. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1992.

150a ________ and Edwin G. Corr. "Confronting the New World Disorder: A Legitimate Government Theory of Engagement." In Max G. Manwaring and William J. Olsen, Managing Contemporary Conflict: Pillars of Success. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1996.

151a Markakis, John and Katsuyoshi Fukui. Ethnicity and Conflict in the Horn of Africa. London, UK: James Currey, Ltd., 1994.

152a Marshall, Thomas and Donald Snedeker. Military Forces in Preventive Diplomacy. Final Report on HQ, US Army Europe, Preventive Diplomacy Study, Vol. I. McLean, VA: Science Applications International Corporation, 1994.

153a McHugh, Heather S. Efforts in Ethnic Conflict Resolution: Preliminary Lessons Learned. Washington, DC: United States Agency for International Development, Center for Development Information and Evaluation, Research and Reference Services, March 1995.

154a Médecins sans Frontières. "Deadlock in the Rwandan Refugee Crisis: Virtual Standstill on Repatriation." July 1995.

155a Menkhaus, Ken and John Prendergast. "The Stateless State." Africa Report, May 1995.

156a ________. "When the Troops Go Home: Somalia After the Intervention." Review of African Political Economy, June 1995.

157a Miall, Hugh. The Peacemakers: Peaceful Settlement of Disputes Since 1945. New York, NY: St. Martin’s Press, 1992.

158a Middlebrook, Kevin J., "Political Liberation in an Authoritarian Regime: The Case of Mexico." O’Donnell, Guillermo, Philippe C. Schimitter and Laurence Whitehead (eds.), Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Latin America. Baltimore, MD: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1986.

159a Minority Rights Group. "Burundi: Breaking the Cycle of Violence." Profile, March 1995.

160a Mitchell, C.R. "The Process and Stages of Mediation: Two Sudanese Cases." David Smock (ed.), Making War and Waging Peace: Foreign Intervention in Africa. Washington, DC: USIP Press, 1993.

161a Mujawamariya, Monique. "Report of a Visit to Rwanda: September 1-22, 1994." Issue: A Journal of Opinion, Vol. 23, No. 2, 1995.

162a Mueller, John. "The Catastrophic Quota: Trouble After the Cold War." Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 38, No. 3, September 1994.

163a Munuera, Gabriel. Preventing Armed Conflict in Europe: Lessons from Recent Experience. Chaillot Paper 15/16. Institute for Security Studies, Western European Union, 1994.

164a Newbury, Catherine. "Background to Genocide: Rwanda." Issue: A Journal of Opinion, Vol. 23, No. 2, 1995.

165a Nye, Joseph S., Jr. "Conflict After the Cold War." Washington Quarterly. Vol. 19, No. 1.

166a ________. "Peering into the Future." Foreign Affairs 73, July/August 1994.

167a Oakley, Robert and Robert Hirsch. Somalia and Operation Restore Hope: Reflections on Peacemaking and Peacekeeping. Washington, DC: US Institute of Peace, 1994.

168a O’Donnell, Guillermo and Philippe C. Schimitter. Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions about Uncertain Democracies. Baltimore, MD: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1986.

169a Okolicsanyi, Karoly. "Slovak-Hungarian Tension: Bratislava Diverts the Danube." RFE/RL Research Report 1, 1992.

170a Ottaway, Marina. "The Ethiopian Transition: Democratization or New Authoritarianism?" Mimeo, 1995.

171a The Parliamentary Center. The Canadian Peacebuilding Roundtable. Mimeo, March 27, 1995.

172a Peck, Connie. "Improving the UN System of Preventive Diplomacy and Conflict Resolution: Past Experiences, Current Problems and Future Perspectives." In Winrich Kuhne (ed.), Blauhelme in Einer Turbulenten Welt. Baden-Baden: Nomos Berlagsgesellschaft, 1993.

173a ________. "An Integrative Model for Understanding and Managing Conflict." In Interdisciplinary Peace Research. Vol. 1, No. 1, May 1989.

174a Platt, Alan (ed). Arms Control and Confidence Building in the Middle East. Washington, DC: US Institute of Peace, 1992.

175a Prendergast, John. Crisis and Hope in Africa. Brussels, Belgium: CIDSE-Europe, forthcoming 1996.

176a ________. Diplomacy, Aid and Governance in Sudan. Washington, DC: Center of Concern, 1995.

177a ________. "The Gun Talks Louder than the Voice: Somalia’s Continuing Cycles of Violence." Center of Concern Discussion Paper, July 1994.

178a ________. Humanitarian Aid and Conflict Prevention in the Greater Horn of Africa. Forthcoming, 1996.

179a ________. Sudanese Rebels at a Crossroads. Washington, DC: Center of Concern, 1994.

180a ________. "Tie Humanitarian Assistance to Substantive Reform." The Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, July/August 1995.

181a Princen, Thomas. Intermediaries in International Conflict. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1992.

182a Pruitt, Dean G. and Jeffrey Z. Rubin. Social Conflict: Escalation, Stalemate and Settlement. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, Inc., 1986.

183a Prunier, Gérard. The Rwanda Crisis: History of a Genocide. New York, NY: Columbia University Press, 1995.

184a Redmond, Ron. "Demilitarization Crucial for Return of Refugees." Refugees No. 96, 1994.

185a Reuters. June 26, 1995; October 31, 1995.

186a Reyntjens, Filip. "Subjects of Concern: Rwanda, October 1994." Issue: A Journal of Opinion, Vol. 23, No. 2, 1995.

187a Rieff, David. "The Humanitarian Trap." World Policy Journal. Vol. 12, No. 4, Winter 1995/6.

188a Rogers, Katrina S. "Rivers of Discontent — Rivers of Peace: Environmental Cooperation and Integration Theory." International Studies Notes, Vol. 20, No. 2, Spring 1995.

189a Rondos, Alex. "The Collapsing State and International Security." In Janne Nolan (ed.). Global Engagement: Cooperation and Security in the 21st Century. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 1994.

190a Rone, Jemera and John Prendergast. Civilian Devastation: Abuses by All Parties in the War in Sudan. New York, NY: Human Rights Watch, 1994.

191a Rothman, Jay. From Confrontation to Cooperation: Resolving Ethnic and Regional Conflict. Newbury Park, CA: Sage Publications, Inc., 1992.

192a Ruiz, Hiram. Burundi’s Uprooted People: Caught in the Spiral of Violence. Washington, DC: US Committee for Refugees, August 1995.

193a Rupesinghe, Kumar. Internal Conflict and Governance. New York, NY: St. Martin’s Press, 1992.

194a ________ and Michiko Kuroda. Early Warning and Conflict Resolution. New York, NY: St. Martin’s Press, 1993.

195a Russett, Bruce. Grasping the Democratic Peace: Principles for a Post-Cold War World. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1993.

196a Ryan, Stephen. In David Carment and Patrick James (eds.), The International Politics of Ethnic Conflict, Vol. II. Forthcoming, 1996.

197a Search for Common Ground. Macedonia Project Update. Undated.

198a ________. Newsletter. Winter 1995.

199a Shabad, Goldie, Sharon A. Shible and John F. Zurovchak. When Push Comes to Shove: Simultaneous Transformations and the Breakup of the Czechoslovak State. Paper presented at the 1993 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association. Washington, DC, 1993.

200a Shaw, Timothy. "Africa in the 1990s: Beyond Continental Crises to Sustainable Development." Background Series in International Development, 1990 edition.

201a Shiels, Frederick L. Preventable Disasters: Why Governments Fail. Savage, MD: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc., 1991.

202a Shiras, Peter. "Famine, Poverty and Governance." Hunger Teachnet, September 1995.

203a Shorr, David. The Citizenship and Alien Law Controversies in Estonia and Latvia. Strengthening Democratic Institutions Project. Cambridge, MA: J.F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, 1994.

204a Sisk, Timothy. "South Africa’s National Peace Accord." Peace and Change, Vol. 19, No. 1, January 1994.

205a Smock, David R. and Chester A. Crocker (eds.). African Conflict Resolution. Washington, DC: USIP Press, 1995.

206a Stedman, Stephen. "Alchemy for a New World Order: Overselling ‘Preventive Diplomacy.’" In Foreign Affairs, Vol. 73, No. 3, May-June 1995.

207a ________. Peacemaking or Civil War: International Mediation in Zimbabwe, 1974-1980. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1990.

208a Stepan, Alfred. "Paths toward Redemocratization: Theoretical and Comparative Considerations." O’Donnell, Guillermo, Philippe C. Schimitter and Laurence Whitehead (eds.), Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Comparative Perspectives. Baltimore, MD: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1986.

209a Suhrke, A. "A Crisis Diminished: Refugees in the Developing World." International Journal XLVIII, March 1993.

210a Szayna, Thomas S. Ethnic Conflict in Central Europe and the Balkans: A Framework and US Policy Options. Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 1994.

211a United Nations. Handbook on the Peaceful Settlement of Disputes Between States. New York, NY: United Nations, 1992.

212a ________. Security Council, Report of the Secretary-General on the Situation in Burundi. New York, NY: United Nations, October 11, 1994.

213a United States Agency for International Development (USAID). Practicing Community-Based Conflict Mitigation. Transcripts from USAID-Sponsored Proceedings. Washington, DC: March 1995.

214a USAID/BHR/OFDA, Guidelines for Foreign Disaster Assistance. September 1, 1994.

215a USAID/Rwanda. Situation Report. No. 21, July 31, 1995.

216a United States Mission to the United Nations. Global Humanitarian Emergencies, 1995. New York, NY, 1995.

217a Uvin, Peter. "Genocide in Rwanda: The Political Ecology of Conflict." Mimeo, October 1995.

218a van der Stoel, Max. Talk on the Work of the High Commissioner on National Minorities, Face to Face Program, Carnegie Endowment for Peace, Washington, DC. November 20, 1994.

219a Van Evera, Stephen. "Hypotheses on Nationalism and War." International Security 18, 1994.

220a wa Matua, Makau. "Human Rights and State Despotism in Kenya: Institutional Problems." Africa Today, 4th quarter, 1994.

221a Wagner, Gordon. Project Proposal: Humanitarian Institutional Exchanges in the Horn of Africa between Ethiopia, Eritrea and Southern Sudan,

222a Wallensteen, Peter and Karin Axell. "Conflict Resolution and the End of the Cold War." Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 31, No. 3, 1994.

223a Washington Post. UN’s Man in Burundi: A Rock in a Hard Place, Monday, April, 1995.

224a Zaagman, Rob. "Minority Questions, Human Rights and Regional Instability: The Prevention of Conflict." In Robert Pfaltzgraff and Richard H. Shultz, Jr., Ethnic Conflict and Regional Instability: Implications for US Policy and Army Roles and Missions. Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College.

225a Zartman, I. William. Collapsed States: The Disintegration and Reintegration of Legitimate Authority. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1995.

226a ________. Ripe for Revolution: Conflict and Intervention in Africa. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1992.

227a ________. "The Strategy of Preventive Diplomacy in Third World Conflicts." Alexander George (ed.), Managing US-Soviet Rivalry: Problems of Crisis Prevention. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1983.

228a Zimmermann, Warren. "The Last Ambassador: A Memoir of the Collapse of Yugoslavia." Foreign Affairs No. 74, 1995.